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Betting Preview: Chelsea

by Hamish Dufton @efchamishdufton

Everton v QPR
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Chelsea have had more reason to employ a league trophy polisher in recent years but domestic head-to-heads with Everton reveal a history of tight encounters.

Everton have won 48, drawn 47 and lost 51 times against the Londoners.

And recent form gives David Moyes and his impressive Toffees more reasons to believe that a home win is very achievable on Sunday in the Barclays Premier League, despite Chelsea being slight 6/4 favourites in online betting with Paddy Power.

Paddy Power New Account Exclusive – Get Everton at 7/1 to beat Chelsea this Sunday! Check out ALL details.

Everton have taken 68 points in this calendar year in the Premier League. This is the best return since their last title-winning year in 1987. Looking for omens? Chelsea finished 14th that year and were relegated the following season.

After the Blues beat Wigan 2-1 on Boxing Day, Roberto Martinez paid tribute to the Everton manager. He said: “David has been there 11 seasons, a man of knowledge and experiences that he’s built up over the years — and always finding the solutions to have a competitive team reaching the target that they need to achieve.”

Paddy Power makes the Toffees 9/5 for a Goodison Park victory against Chelsea with the draw trading at 23/10.

In the same fixture last season, Everton emerged with a 2-0 victory thanks to goals from Steven Pienaar and Denis Stracqualursi, who now plays with Argentinean giants San Lorenzo in his homeland. Much can change in a year, as André Villas-Boas can attest. He was in charge at Chelsea that day as Pienaar helped him towards the exit.

South African midfielder Pienaar is still very much an Everton man though, and leading the charge for a fourth-place finish for the club. He is 15/2 to score first against Chelsea this weekend and 12/5 any time.

Marouane Fellaini serves the last of his suspension so the Toffees will again look to in-form Leon Osman for inspiration. If you fancy a flutter on Osman (who was tipped up at 10/1 by us to score first against Wigan) he’s 17/2 to score first on Sunday and 11/4 any time.

Nikica Jelavic, as is normal, heads the goalscorers market at 4/1 to find the onion bag first and is evens anytime but it’s a 17/2 that there’s no goalscorer.

In the last six home games against Chelsea, Everton have won three, drawn one and lost two. Meanwhile, Chelsea have won six of their last seven games under Rafa Benitez in all competitions ahead of the trip to Goodison as they challenge Everton for a Champions League spot.

Predicting the time of goals scored is another interesting market with Paddy Power for this game. Chelsea are quick off the mark away from home, hitting the net in an average of 23 minutes. They are vulnerable though just after the break, on 53 minutes.

Everton score after 41 minutes on average at home, and concede after the same amount of time. It’s evens with Paddy Power that the first goal will be scored up to and including the 27th minute and while Everton are dangerous just before the break, it’s 3/1 that they will be in the lead after 30 minutes against Chelsea.

In the correct score market, it’s not sexy but a 0-0 is trading at 9/1 with Paddy Power but if you’re looking for something with a bit more bite, Leighton Baines to score first and Everton to draw 1-1 is 40/1.

Paddy Power New Account Exclusive – Get Everton at 7/1 to beat Chelsea this Sunday! Check out ALL details.

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