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Ahead of Everton’s last game against Fulham we pointed out that “Everton though will take heart from their record at home to sides like Fulham that are currently in mid table.  In seven home games against sides currently placed between 5th and 15th, the Toffee’s have won five.  

Everton are normally odds on at home to mid ranked sides but can be backed at nearly 11/10 for this match and that looks like good value.  A 2-1 win is a 13/2 chance and looks attractive given that Fulham have only lost once this season by more than a single goal.”

We can go back to the well again at home to Aston Villa on Saturday.  They, like Fulham are in the middle rank of teams against whom Everton have now recorded six home wins from eight.  The odds are shorter this time with Villa on a run of three defeats and a home win is a little bigger than 4/5.

You can boost that by looking at a combination of 2-0 and 2-1 correct scores at odds of almost 3/1.  Those two scores have accounted for seven of Everton’s nine wins this season.

A win on Saturday could put Everton within two points of Liverpool in sixth and within six points of Tottenham in fifth.  There is a lot yet to play for this season.

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